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 25 new boac comerical (Read 32604 times)
CoolP
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #30 - Nov 17th, 2011 at 7:07am
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I wonder how a Seattle diagram justifys a statement in the general meaning of 'people became more aware of harming the environment'. Really? I also wonder how 2011 concerns influenced a 1960+ plane. However, thanks for the information on 'most things I have read'.

On a side note, I think one has to be aware of what the term 'emissions' really means as it can be used in different ways, some are more technical. Another interesting one is the actual funding that went into SST projects around the world. You may find out that the Concorde one wasn't the highest, but the only one producing a plane that went into service.

I've read some of Sutter's work. It's really interesting stuff, but I've also read what actual engineers of a working SST thought about the 'unfeasibility concerns' of his. I can tell you that this had nothing to do with carbon emissions, but much with 'how the h... is this thing going to fly?'.
When looking at the target values of the planned SST, nobody was really surprised to see a lot of money going into it, but being held back by technology limits of that time.

As said, Concorde flew and operated right on the edge of things. This does mean that planning a Mach3+ passenger transportation plane with more than two guys in space suits was as ambitious as leaving the Moon out and flying directly to Mars. At least, a lot of tax payer money was lost to find out about the limits of 1960/70s tech in that regard.


Now with the environmental aspects, which sometimes become oh so 'important', I think the threads from Pina and Peter are the ones to look for.
On a large scale, Earth and the environment as we call it does not care if you harm her with a plane or a car using 'much less fuel than others'. It does care for the overall value of harmful things and this one actually grew and grew because, thanks to lower ticket prices, nowadays a vast of amount of people can afford flying and the advertisement of course stresses this 'need' to do spend money it. Depending on the actual country, this 'need' may already be established as common thing to do, regardless of the actual reasons in place.
Shopping trips, cheap holidays in the warm weather, visiting foreign countries to enjoy the tourism industry setup there, giving you a 'typical' impression? Nice! And also a large portion of nowadays passenger volume. In fact, the largest one.
So it's not about doctors trying to reach their patients or certain goods for feeding hungry people, it's about selling tickets for all other sorts of travel interests. Money business. The rest is insignificant when it comes to volume, costs and environmental effects.
Strange matter of fact, this insignificant amount of useful things often gets used as the justification for all the rest. Evil to whom evil thinks.  Smiley

Environmental awareness? We may remind ourselves about the difference between 'being aware' and 'acting aware' to catch some drift. Only the last part helps the environment, while the first one just calms the conscience and is a major factor with advertising by the way.


So, on the overall numbers, more fuel efficient planes never lead to weaker environmental footprint, but to a much larger one. That's by design since the planes don't get designed fuel efficient to 'take care of the environment', but to counteract higher fuel prices, which prevent selling cheap tickets, which blocks the new markets and the growth of them.
So whenever a company introduces a new 'green' thing, it wants you to look just to the tip of your nose and not beyond. Yes, that one product harms us less (they don't use those words, the turn it into 'it's friendly'), but they plan to build a lot of them. Much more than from its predecessor. So far, a new 'environmental friendly' technology in transportation always had this effect. And, with always I mean .. always.
With air transport markets easily growing in the ranges of 10% per year (much higher in Asia for example), this plan will get fulfilled for some time to go.
Who takes care of the environment when looking at it in that way?  Roll Eyes

You can make a lot of money with selling tickets. So much that even expensive new planes justify themselves. This has nothing to do with concerns about Mother Earth, but more with a rather common human character trait. Still, who would want to look at this mess?  Roll Eyes

Approx 1 billion people travelling by plane in 1990 and, 20 years later, 2.3 billion are flying. No current technology in the world can counteract that environmental impact. Think they are all flying to their patients or transporting vital goods? Well ..


And what about a SST? Well, it's not blocked by anything else than its market value. So as soon as some clever financial guy comes up and can explain that even the nice values of business and first class subsonic tickets can be beaten by a supersonic service, you will see them starting to work on it right away. Environmental concerns? Well, we couldn't care less, do we?
  
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DarrenL
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #31 - Nov 17th, 2011 at 8:39pm
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701151 wrote on Nov 15th, 2011 at 2:01pm:
Well obviously there wasn't the demand, it was a money-losing venture for Air France and British Airways, and the Tu-144 was only used by Aeroflot because the Soviet government forced the to use it. If there had been demand for supersonic travel, we would still have it, and we would have a third-generation SST by now.


There was a demand for it and it was not a money losing venture for BA, they made an operating profit of between £30-50million per year when is use, AF made slightly less.

Concorde was only retired because the cost of upgrading, safety modifications post Paris and further costs on the life extension programme were more than the expected profits to be made in the extra few years life that was going to be given to the airframes which were already 21-27 years old at retirement.

And please read my previous post with regards future SST.
  

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boeing247
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #32 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 12:32am
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CoolP, if you got that information from a quote from a statistician I apologize, but I'm not sure about it. There was a great graphic Boeing made that would show what I mean, though I can't seem to find it on the 787 page on newairplane.com anymore--I'll post it if I find it. Anyway, it showed how new jets, particularly ones such as the 787 and A320neo (though the Airbus ones were of course not mentioned by name for advertisement purposes  Grin) have a far lower fuel consumption rate than the first-gen jets like the 707 and anything else prior. In addition, they carry more passengers. Do they fly more often? Yes. Are their more of them to account for the growing amount of passengers? Yes, but if more passengers are being transported with less fuel, there must be some improvement--and just imagine if we were still using fuel-guzzling 707's. Also, you seem to be skeptical that companies were actually concerned with environmental impact. This is true, but you also have to look at it from a PR standpoint. As more people become aware of the ecological impact of aircraft and other vehicles, they would not look kindly upon SST's.  Wink And if anybody can find a graph of the main sources of carbon emissions in the world, please post it.
  

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Markoz
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #33 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 1:10am
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If you replace 1 old aircraft, that emit 100 units of pollution into the atmosphere, with 5 modern aircraft, that emit 30 units of pollution into the atmosphere, then you are still releasing more pollution into the atmosphere than you were back when you were using that single aircraft (5 x 30 = 150). So the point that CoolP makes is still valid. More pollution IS being emitted into the atmosphere today, than it was many years ago. The only difference is that it takes more aircraft to do it.

I'm not using exact figures because I don't know what they really are.
  

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701151
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #34 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 2:03am
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Markoz wrote on Nov 18th, 2011 at 1:10am:
If you replace 1 old aircraft, that emit 100 units of pollution into the atmosphere, with 5 modern aircraft, that emit 30 units of pollution into the atmosphere, then you are still releasing more pollution into the atmosphere than you were back when you were using that single aircraft (5 x 30 = 150). So the point that CoolP makes is still valid. More pollution IS being emitted into the atmosphere today, than it was many years ago. The only difference is that it takes more aircraft to do it.

I'm not using exact figures because I don't know what they really are.


Well it depends. Its like the car vs. motorcycle story.

See, yes a Motorcycle might 75mpg (per-say) but the car gets 35mpg, yes, the motorcycle might burn less gas than teh car, but the car has more emissions standards.SO the motorcycle may be emitting more toxic gases and carcinogens than the car, but less CO2 than the car. So would you rather has less CO2 or less ozone, sulphur, and other things?

So yes, you're replaced 1 plane with 5, the original made 100, the new five make 130. But you get to take 1,000 passengers (each plane holds 200) with the new five, and only burn 130. But with the old, you only carry 200 for 100. So that equates to a 2:1 (two passengers to each until of pollution) with the old, and 7.69:1 with the new five. Thats how a 747 going from LAX to JFK can be more effecient than a single person in a car. You get 467 people to new york over a shorter distance than 1 person over a longer (ditance & time).
  

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boeing247
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #35 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 4:06am
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Markoz wrote on Nov 18th, 2011 at 1:10am:
If you replace 1 old aircraft, that emit 100 units of pollution into the atmosphere, with 5 modern aircraft, that emit 30 units of pollution into the atmosphere, then you are still releasing more pollution into the atmosphere than you were back when you were using that single aircraft (5 x 30 = 150). So the point that CoolP makes is still valid. More pollution IS being emitted into the atmosphere today, than it was many years ago. The only difference is that it takes more aircraft to do it.

I'm not using exact figures because I don't know what they really are.


It's true that there are more pollutants being released now, but if you look at the ratio of passengers to planes, just as Peter pointed out, we're doing well (not that there isn't room for improvement, though). However, my original point, at its simplest, was that in the development of SST's and other aircraft in the future, environmental concerns are something which needs to be taken into account.

And Peter, I don't know about you, but I think we need more ozone in the atmosphere (at least in the stratosphere).  Grin
  

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701151
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #36 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 5:00am
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The consideration for SST's won't be so much environmental concerns as economics. The airlines chose the 787 over the Sonic Cruiser; the Sonic Cruiser would go at Mach .92 for the same cost as the 767, but airlines wanted to cut cost, since the demand for ultra-high speed wasn't great. With 787 technology, we don't need to worry about emissions when going that fast, its all operating costs, seat revenue, and effeciency. Delta has the biggest gas bill this year, over $2.5 Billion. If passengers don't really demand for supersonic travel, Delta, or any airlines, won't go for an SST and raise the gas bill to $3 Billion, they'd rather have it at $1 Billion.
  

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boeing247
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #37 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 5:29am
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Was the Sonic Cruiser a Boeing concept plane? I've never heard of it. Sounds like an interesting idea. Huh
  

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CoolP
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #38 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 7:27am
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Mark points it out correctly. The overall value counts for the environment.

Since the beginning of the jet age, big passenger planes made overall efficiency improvements or approx 50%. That's from the very first jet planes up to the most current ones like 787 and A380.
So please tell me how the 1990 technology, which already includes the modern things like 777 and A330 planes, should ever be able to counteract that impact happening in just 20 years.

Maybe it helps to see that e. g. New York grew from 7.8 million to 8.2 million people, while, within the same time span, the amount if people over New York went up x2.3!
Mother Earth still does not care if you've improved efficiency on a single plane (while the passenger count goes up as shown), that's pure company and advertisement thinking, guys. Well done, PR branches!

I might add, as a side note, that it may not be too clever to ask the guys actually selling planes about the environmental impact they might have while expecting useful/valid answers. However, that may add to the 'awareness' people aim for.  Sad


The problem with some environmental awareness isn't the data basis. The data is there, no one can really hide it and rather simple maths show numbers like the ones above.

Now, an industry isn't interested in that awareness taking place in people's minds. The bias is 'earn money!' and any passenger in doubt about the environmental impact of his not so important journey has to be avoided. So, nowadays, everything comes with a friendly green image plus promoting the 'right' data, while leaving out the more obvious one. As if trees would start growing when you park (and run) a modern plane in front of them.  Grin
And, at the same time, people aren't really interested to care about this and that when they can have an industry that tells them that 'everything is fine'. Qui bono?  Roll Eyes
Lobbyists and PR work are vital parts of a big money business, so it's not only about the products. You may guess why.

I don't blame people in general, that would be unfair and too cross-the-board alike. But I'm really surprised when some guys (with access to data) fail to realize or even defend some naive fallacy of theirs. However, maybe I can learn something from that behaviour.  Smiley

As Peter shows, there is hope.
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The consideration for SST's won't be so much environmental concerns as economics.
  
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #39 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 1:23pm
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boeing247 wrote on Nov 18th, 2011 at 5:29am:
Was the Sonic Cruiser a Boeing concept plane? I've never heard of it. Sounds like an interesting idea. Huh


The Sonic Cruiser was a Boeing concept from 2001, it could cruise up to Mach .98. The idea was that it would fly just below the speed of sound, but be muh faster than any other airliner, without the downsides of supersonic flight (i.e. no sonic booms). Boeing cancelled the Sonic Cruiser in 2002, in favor of the 7E7, which would later become the 787 Dreamliner.



  

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boeing247
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #40 - Nov 18th, 2011 at 11:55pm
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Ah, thanks, Peter. I've seen pictures of that before. It's a shame it wasn't developed, as it seems like a pretty good idea.

And CoolP, you have provided copious information, but all I really said was that environmental concerns play a role in the development of SST's (which is what I read in 747 and a history of flight book I own), and nothing more.  Smiley
  

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CoolP
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #41 - Nov 19th, 2011 at 7:54am
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boeing247 wrote on Nov 18th, 2011 at 11:55pm:
Ah, thanks, Peter. I've seen pictures of that before. It's a shame it wasn't developed, as it seems like a pretty good idea.

Well, from the history look, the industry wasn't impressed at all, which may arise from the fact that the time savings are negligible, while the development costs are huge for operating in that speed regime. So this not only looks like a 'concept only', but maybe was never intended nor able to leave that state.

For example, the promoted fuel savings (or the too simple 'equal to common normal designs' statement) alone are a thing to raise questions as anyone involved in aircraft design may tell you that the 'cruise' that deep in the transonic regime is the worst thing to happen for a plane when it comes to economics.
Concorde used the reheats to get through and out of it fast by the way. So designing a fuel efficient plane operating in that high drag regime is a technological oxymoron and the concept never provided any signs of the magic bullet in that aspect.

Future SST concepts and ideas (there isn't more than that) are well worth a look, although, as shown, the economical side of all those efforts will render them being a thing of the far future. Maybe one where fuel on board isn't needed anymore.

Quote:
all I really said was that environmental concerns play a role in the development of SST's (which is what I read in 747 and a history of flight book I own), and nothing more.  Smiley

Sorry, I still don't see either strong environmental concerns or even the more naive fallacy of 'aware' people getting a backup from your facts. Economics, that's the thing you should take a look at. Feel free to run a research on all 'green' painted items if you like.

If a guy generally states that 'people became more aware of harming the environment' while using that kind of sources, what could we suggest?
Maybe to look up some facts before writing or just add some more sources and viewpoints before coming to a final opinion and posting it? Yeah, that sounds best and a part of me still is 'impressed' about how some intelligent people make up their mind about things.

I mean it's not like data on environmental impacts or traffic volumes are confidential in a way. But maybe there are not as nice and shiny as some of us expect them to be. Would that be a reason to stay naive and think that current transportation matters are anywhere close to 'acting aware' or even that overall environmental footprints were reduced?

I would keep in mind that there are always two sides of the same coin, whereas the more profitable one ('everything is fine, just buy and fly new stuff') tends to be spread more often, hence the large PR and lobbyist branches of money making industries. You don't earn money with aware people.

With your current way of gaining 'insights' (single source leads to general statements and opinions), you are a media and industry victim by design. Sorry if that sounds harsh, but I think you're not alone in that role, so I hope you'll find a way out. But thanks for being honest.  Smiley

Now back to the commercial.  Cheesy
  
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701151
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #42 - Nov 19th, 2011 at 3:04pm
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         They didn't have environmental concerns like they do today, during the 1960's and 1970's. For awhile, they were worried the world would freeze-over!

         SST concepts are there, but as NASA states, the only way to make them viable, which includes over-continental flying rather than over-water, the sonic boom must be either done away completely, or quiter than a baseball bat hitting a fastball. The sonic booms done over Oklahoma City proved that long-term sonic booms over a city cause complaints, and airliners flying over large cities daily (with a boom equal to that of any fighter jet or Concorde) would surely entail complaints. NASA's concepts for technology that would enable an SST to produce a negligable sonic boom outline an airliner with capacity of 50-85, which is no greater than a Bombardier CRJ700. The Concorde didn't hold many passengers either, 92-120 passengers. However, the problem is gettign it effecient. The inherint design is effecient, per-say, but to get the massive gain that widebodies got over narrowbodies, was range and capacity. If a supersonic airliner were to only hold 80 passengers, it would have to be both incredibly effecient, and fly very far. Ticket prices would be astronomical, and it wouldn't make much sense business-wise. I can see business jets like the Aerion SBJ possibly taking wealthy people and weel-to-do businesses to far places supersonic, but that still is stretching it.
  

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CoolP
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #43 - Nov 19th, 2011 at 3:23pm
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They didn't have environmental concerns like they do today, during the 1960's and 1970's. For awhile, they were worried the world would freeze-over!

Yeah, funny. Nowadays they think promote that terrorists are the greatest threat. So every time has it's .. specials. The simple 'qui bono?' always remained though.


As long as then don't build cities on water, the Pacific and Atlantic would make a great place to fly even with a sonic boom. Wait, didn't they have such routes already?  Roll Eyes The sonic boom did not end anything there.  Cool
As not only Mr. Branson shows these days, every technology needs a demand and a basis to make money with. The rest then follows, including popular concerns (as valid as they might be).

I'm sorry, Peter, I can't follow you on those 'NASA talks' you mention. I can't relate the passenger size of a plane to the actual supersonic boom appearance and/or avoidance. Please explain that in more detail if you like. Me is interested.  Smiley
  
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boeing247
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Re: new boac comerical
Reply #44 - Nov 19th, 2011 at 3:24pm
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Yeah, I can see why the Sonic Cruiser wasn't developed, but making an aircraft that cruises just below the speed of sound is an interesting idea.

CoolP, you are right, and I never disagreed that big companies don't really care about their affect on the environment. I can see that the 787 was made to be 20% more efficient so that airlines will spend less money on fuel. However, it is also true that people have become more aware of what we're doing to the environment--I didn't say who, and I certainly did not say large companies, but some people are. Recall how I mentioned the new Australian restriction on carbon emissions. Almost everything I said about the Concorde was based off of this line:

"Attacks from the ecological lobby (responding to the threat of high levels of pollution and noise) mean that the Concorde was banned from many of the world's airports."

-In an excerpt on the Concorde in Flight: The Complete History, produced by the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum
  

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